Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 64.401033 72.980912 81.770951 91.416251 101.670289 112.215910 123.851189
2025-10-26 50.944143 63.183522 76.315894 91.315939 107.845135 125.386518 145.295698
2025-11-02 43.181043 57.417613 73.228976 91.806608 112.776092 135.482434 161.708057
2025-11-09 36.509690 51.956588 69.682032 91.047452 115.673178 142.794998 174.572740
2025-11-16 31.642136 48.000500 67.342233 91.184352 119.156589 150.398943 187.430934
2025-11-23 27.049247 43.875743 64.388159 90.234964 121.074773 155.970813 197.771929
2025-11-30 24.199814 41.647787 63.484969 91.507150 125.400725 164.148483 210.945593
2025-12-07 21.857534 39.840167 62.914614 93.023140 129.886479 172.412060 224.138467
2025-12-14 18.808999 36.771794 60.514207 92.094131 131.290565 176.960249 232.942412
2025-12-21 15.808646 33.459289 57.561797 90.277147 131.457921 179.925272 239.796894
2025-12-28 15.022881 33.314066 58.761782 93.693688 138.001934 190.432215 255.464610
2026-01-04 13.777668 32.344435 58.759072 95.497373 142.507897 198.477923 268.221729
2026-01-11 11.849000 30.131890 56.947992 94.897581 144.014064 202.951925 276.824358
2026-01-18 10.149665 28.097057 55.258760 94.363652 145.536556 207.403535 285.376579
2026-01-25 8.939873 26.747404 54.455987 94.939201 148.407995 213.452541 295.802410
2026-02-01 7.525373 24.841630 52.715431 94.152345 149.468835 217.238621 303.479253
2026-02-08 6.483971 23.483249 51.702504 94.294168 151.675589 222.397227 312.781778
2026-02-15 5.333617 21.718397 49.952028 93.326262 152.377406 225.650484 319.747433
2026-02-22 4.742559 21.029672 49.836516 94.622771 156.020858 232.544150 331.122889
2026-03-01 4.251891 20.486054 49.913380 96.167455 159.976672 239.821219 342.965605
2026-03-08 3.414162 18.961799 48.301044 95.220881 160.582366 242.869988 349.624232
2026-03-15 2.570008 17.177150 46.128468 93.369312 159.912136 244.263594 354.216046
2026-03-22 2.507317 17.509211 47.574791 96.850637 166.426397 254.752093 370.001421